#69 Too Much Fun (18-12)

avg: 1217.28  •  sd: 52.63  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
201 Spice Win 11-9 773.13 Jul 8th Summer Glazed Daze 2023
133 904 Shipwreck Win 11-8 1239.23 Jul 8th Summer Glazed Daze 2023
108 Bear Jordan Loss 8-9 902.09 Jul 8th Summer Glazed Daze 2023
148 Verdant Win 12-7 1330.9 Jul 8th Summer Glazed Daze 2023
187 Oasis Ultimate** Win 15-4 1178.34 Ignored Jul 9th Summer Glazed Daze 2023
208 Piedmont United Win 13-9 888.54 Jul 22nd Filling the Void 2023
104 Legion Loss 11-12 909.18 Jul 22nd Filling the Void 2023
61 Malice in Wonderland Loss 9-13 875.68 Jul 22nd Filling the Void 2023
195 Swampbenders Win 12-6 1127.87 Jul 23rd Filling the Void 2023
91 Brackish Loss 9-11 836.89 Jul 23rd Filling the Void 2023
52 Roma Ultima Loss 10-15 900.49 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
79 Brunch Club Win 12-10 1387.25 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
154 Moontower Win 15-8 1359.41 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
112 Dizzy Kitty Win 15-8 1568.63 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
93 Crown Peach Win 13-9 1497.17 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
61 Malice in Wonderland Loss 13-14 1169.25 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
208 Piedmont United** Win 13-3 1069.97 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
22 Storm Loss 4-13 1089.35 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
79 Brunch Club Loss 6-11 602.43 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
124 Magnanimouse Win 13-8 1457.74 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
79 Brunch Club Loss 11-15 767.96 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
98 FlyTrap Win 15-10 1507 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
137 Catalyst Win 12-8 1295.92 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed North Carolina Sectional Championship
9 Space Force Loss 6-11 1344.01 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
98 FlyTrap Win 13-9 1471.96 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
93 Crown Peach Win 11-8 1444.22 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
87 m'kay Ultimate Win 14-12 1339.99 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
43 Dirty Bird Win 14-10 1877.02 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
52 Roma Ultima Loss 13-15 1139.92 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
12 'Shine** Loss 6-15 1251.08 Ignored Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)