#52 Roma Ultima (19-12)

avg: 1354.1  •  sd: 52.28  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
171 Happy Hour Win 13-8 1199.04 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
89 B-Unit Win 13-10 1430.84 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
126 Barefoot Win 11-10 1056.7 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
238 Victrix** Win 13-1 774.15 Ignored Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
87 m'kay Ultimate Loss 10-12 880.91 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
93 Crown Peach Win 11-7 1545.5 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
46 Revival Loss 8-10 1173.39 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
28 Flight Club Loss 6-11 1088.58 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
25 MOONDOG Loss 8-11 1282.67 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
57 Steamboat Loss 7-13 781.87 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
77 Bullet Train Loss 10-11 1037.69 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
73 Northern Comfort Win 12-8 1635.36 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
237 Rampage** Win 15-0 803.33 Ignored Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
69 Too Much Fun Win 15-10 1670.88 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
79 Brunch Club Win 15-7 1749.12 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
43 Dirty Bird Loss 10-13 1150.18 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
93 Crown Peach Win 14-11 1391.95 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
87 m'kay Ultimate Win 15-10 1572.64 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
220 Hairy Otter** Win 13-4 975.26 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Coast Sectional Championship
148 Verdant Win 13-8 1306.55 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Coast Sectional Championship
12 'Shine Loss 7-13 1293.55 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Coast Sectional Championship
43 Dirty Bird Loss 8-15 913.51 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Coast Sectional Championship
93 Crown Peach Win 14-8 1614.64 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Coast Sectional Championship
12 'Shine Loss 11-15 1469.92 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Coast Sectional Championship
187 Oasis Ultimate** Win 13-2 1178.34 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
89 B-Unit Win 13-9 1521.26 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
20 Toro Loss 9-13 1318.92 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
61 Malice in Wonderland Win 12-10 1532.37 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
22 Storm Loss 11-15 1308.18 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
89 B-Unit Win 15-6 1702.7 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
69 Too Much Fun Win 15-13 1431.46 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)