#136 Skyhawks (9-16)

avg: 856.02  •  sd: 75.23  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
176 The Force Win 12-11 776.87 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
186 2Fly2Furious Win 13-10 909.76 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
131 Stackcats Win 13-10 1218.92 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
57 Steamboat Loss 5-13 739.4 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
115 Queen City Gambit Win 13-12 1122.8 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
128 Mousetrap Loss 6-13 314.95 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
110 Trex Mix Loss 7-13 455.61 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Loss 3-10 147.33 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
186 2Fly2Furious Loss 8-11 216.01 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
210 ELevate Win 12-6 1031.69 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
57 Steamboat Loss 9-10 1214.4 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Loss 8-9 622.33 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
150 Toast! Loss 8-11 438.01 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
29 RAMP** Loss 1-15 1022.75 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Win 15-8 1312.14 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
27 Chicago Parlay Loss 8-15 1072.7 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
88 Spectre Win 12-8 1549.77 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
92 Three Rivers Ultimate Club Loss 12-14 864.58 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Loss 10-11 622.33 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
105 Bandwagon Loss 11-12 903.24 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Central Plains Sectional Championship
115 Queen City Gambit Win 15-13 1211.98 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
29 RAMP** Loss 4-15 1022.75 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
57 Steamboat Win 15-14 1464.4 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
88 Spectre Loss 4-15 508.62 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
107 Columbus Chaos Loss 9-14 553.66 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)