#115 Queen City Gambit (16-9)

avg: 997.8  •  sd: 64.82  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
241 PanIC Win 13-8 637.96 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
179 Frostbite Win 11-10 771.15 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
128 Mousetrap Loss 8-12 473.8 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
135 Point of No Return Loss 8-11 495.9 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
136 Skyhawks Loss 12-13 731.02 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
131 Stackcats Win 11-9 1139.98 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
186 2Fly2Furious Win 12-7 1102.13 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
92 Three Rivers Ultimate Club Win 12-9 1430.9 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Win 13-6 1347.33 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
194 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 10-5 1130.54 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
110 Trex Mix Loss 7-12 492.64 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
150 Toast! Win 9-5 1332.68 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Win 11-7 1214.22 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
107 Columbus Chaos Loss 12-15 727.04 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
- Kenyon College [Upper]** Win 15-5 600 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
200 Pixel Win 15-4 1124.78 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
110 Trex Mix Win 15-9 1528.63 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
107 Columbus Chaos Win 15-12 1328.02 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
57 Steamboat Loss 11-15 958.24 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
105 Bandwagon Loss 12-14 807.28 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
136 Skyhawks Loss 13-15 641.84 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Win 15-5 1347.33 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
110 Trex Mix Loss 11-14 699.81 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
167 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Win 12-11 872.33 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
92 Three Rivers Ultimate Club Win 15-14 1210.54 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)