#112 Maryland (6-6)

avg: 1067.34  •  sd: 104.54  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
38 South Carolina Loss 7-11 1296.23 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
74 Harvard Loss 8-11 1016.99 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
61 Penn State Loss 5-11 903.49 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
47 Connecticut Loss 7-8 1530.8 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
88 Virginia Tech Loss 5-10 723.36 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
163 Temple Win 10-6 1130.73 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
- Towson Win 12-6 1030.25 Mar 9th Kernel Kup 2024
226 Cornell-B** Win 13-1 107.3 Ignored Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
120 Johns Hopkins Win 9-8 1132.99 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
197 Mary Washington Win 13-7 817.79 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
151 George Washington Win 15-5 1391.23 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
129 Richmond Loss 9-10 821.74 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)