#14 Sockeye (18-10)

avg: 1999.88  •  sd: 47.57  •  top 16/20: 91.6%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Switchback Win 13-3 2075.77 Jun 24th Summer Solstice 2023
11 Furious George Win 13-10 2385.58 Jun 24th Summer Solstice 2023
20 Zyzzyva Win 13-7 2417.74 Jun 24th Summer Solstice 2023
10 Rhino Slam! Win 12-11 2210.8 Jun 25th Summer Solstice 2023
33 Blackfish Win 13-7 2224.12 Jun 25th Summer Solstice 2023
18 Dark Star-D Loss 12-13 1758.29 Jun 25th Summer Solstice 2023
3 Revolver Loss 13-14 2120.3 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
15 GOAT Win 14-13 2097.27 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
70 OAT** Win 15-3 1999.46 Ignored Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
4 Chain Lightning Win 13-10 2540.03 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
18 Dark Star-D Win 13-10 2211.43 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
22 SoCal Condors Loss 10-12 1614.28 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
2 PoNY Loss 14-15 2208.94 Aug 4th 2023 US Open Club Championships ICC
5 Chicago Machine Loss 12-15 1889.21 Aug 4th 2023 US Open Club Championships ICC
27 Omen Win 15-10 2193.39 Aug 5th 2023 US Open Club Championships ICC
19 Sub Zero Win 15-9 2381.06 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
28 Tanasi Win 14-10 2131.15 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
50 H.I.P Win 15-10 2007.11 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
13 Vault Loss 11-12 1879.36 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
27 Omen Loss 13-14 1614.79 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
22 SoCal Condors Win 14-7 2435.29 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
11 Furious George Loss 11-15 1676.27 Sep 23rd 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
67 Mystery Gang Win 15-6 2025.91 Sep 23rd 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
99 SOUF Win 15-7 1855.01 Sep 23rd 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
10 Rhino Slam! Loss 9-15 1570.32 Sep 24th 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
65 Sawtooth Win 15-7 2043.15 Sep 24th 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
60 Switchback Win 15-10 1929.38 Sep 24th 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
11 Furious George Loss 8-15 1492.63 Sep 24th 2023 Northwest Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)