#50 H.I.P (20-11)

avg: 1553.51  •  sd: 65.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
243 Bazooka 2: The Zookening** Win 13-3 834.53 Ignored Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
122 Lil Heroes Win 13-10 1416.57 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
125 Cowtown Cannons Win 13-6 1656.61 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
48 Alamode Loss 10-12 1318.82 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
68 Brawl Win 12-10 1656.67 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
69 Clutch Loss 1-13 810.39 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
254 Adventure Time** Win 13-1 566.76 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
165 Firefly TX** Win 13-5 1458.17 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
203 Shrimp Discs** Win 13-3 1252.03 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
225 Forge** Win 13-4 1088.24 Ignored Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
69 Clutch Loss 8-13 914.23 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
102 Harvey Cats Win 13-6 1807.19 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
69 Clutch Win 10-9 1535.39 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
19 Sub Zero Loss 12-15 1565.09 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
28 Tanasi Loss 11-14 1419.11 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
14 Sockeye Loss 10-15 1546.27 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
31 Garden State Ultimate Loss 6-13 1076.12 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
26 Sprout Loss 12-15 1445.27 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
34 Trident I Win 13-12 1786.81 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
68 Brawl Loss 11-13 1189.71 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
129 Foxtrot Win 13-11 1271.73 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
153 Sprawl Win 13-6 1498.87 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
203 Shrimp Discs** Win 13-2 1252.03 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
48 Alamode Win 15-14 1681.94 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
68 Brawl Win 15-11 1799.72 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
97 Texas Duffy Win 15-8 1846.95 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
54 ISO Atmo Win 15-10 1972.95 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
8 Johnny Bravo Loss 7-15 1512.77 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
48 Alamode Win 15-11 1938.1 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
68 Brawl Win 15-13 1632.73 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
8 Johnny Bravo Loss 12-15 1812.28 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)