#33 Tower (21-8)

avg: 1548.37  •  sd: 62.49  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
70 American Barbecue Win 8-7 1339.93 Jul 8th Revolution 2023
36 BW Ultimate Loss 7-9 1231.88 Jul 8th Revolution 2023
75 Cutthroat Win 10-7 1576.61 Jul 8th Revolution 2023
49 Donuts Win 12-8 1837.67 Jul 9th Revolution 2023
26 Sunshine Loss 6-11 1100.72 Jul 9th Revolution 2023
37 LIT Ultimate Win 10-8 1771.87 Jul 9th Revolution 2023
109 Pushovers Win 15-5 1625.51 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
152 Family Style** Win 15-2 1395.65 Ignored Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
39 Lotus Loss 9-10 1370.04 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
36 BW Ultimate Win 11-8 1876.83 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
75 Cutthroat Loss 6-11 640.25 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
53 Quick Draw Loss 8-12 909.4 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
134 Sin Nombre** Win 13-4 1462.83 Ignored Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
157 Mesteño Win 11-9 1036.54 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
53 Quick Draw Win 13-4 1950.55 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
75 Cutthroat Win 11-10 1311.95 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
101 Green Chiles Win 13-7 1601.79 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
161 DR** Win 13-4 1384.62 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
36 BW Ultimate Win 13-9 1929.78 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
15 Mischief Loss 10-15 1377.28 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
181 VU** Win 13-3 1230.66 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
49 Donuts Win 15-5 1996.52 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
36 BW Ultimate Win 13-10 1839.36 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
70 American Barbecue Win 15-5 1814.93 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
41 California Burrito Win 10-9 1613.22 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
51 Classy Win 12-9 1729.17 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
17 Lawless Loss 9-15 1247.7 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
18 Polar Bears Win 15-14 1886.21 Sep 24th 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
26 Sunshine Loss 13-15 1433.24 Sep 24th 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)