#51 Classy (12-18)

avg: 1383.8  •  sd: 45.96  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
4 BFG Loss 9-13 1541.03 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
77 Bullet Train Win 13-8 1658.85 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
35 Impact Loss 12-15 1216.6 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
11 Seattle Mixtape Loss 11-14 1560.69 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
77 Bullet Train Win 15-2 1762.69 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
32 Mile High Trash Loss 12-13 1437.85 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
27 Chicago Parlay Win 9-8 1762.51 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
65 League of Shadows Win 11-7 1715.58 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
5 Cleveland Crocs Loss 6-15 1336.51 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
29 RAMP Win 11-10 1747.75 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
10 Red Flag Loss 11-12 1751.21 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
28 Flight Club Loss 9-10 1510.27 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
11 Seattle Mixtape Loss 6-13 1274.03 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
63 Pegasus Win 12-8 1700.57 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
39 Lotus Loss 10-11 1370.04 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
10 Red Flag Loss 8-13 1380.05 Aug 27th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
25 MOONDOG Loss 9-12 1302.91 Aug 27th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
32 Mile High Trash Loss 5-13 962.85 Aug 27th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
49 Donuts Loss 10-12 1158.39 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
202 Air Throwmads Win 13-6 1115.63 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
138 Firefly Win 13-9 1272.26 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
37 LIT Ultimate Loss 9-12 1163.83 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
70 American Barbecue Loss 9-10 1089.93 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
138 Firefly Win 15-8 1418.5 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
94 Mango Win 15-5 1677.18 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Nor Cal Sectional Championship
49 Donuts Loss 6-11 849.82 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
15 Mischief Loss 7-14 1247.99 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
75 Cutthroat Win 12-8 1628.1 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
33 Tower Loss 9-12 1203.01 Sep 23rd 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
70 American Barbecue Win 11-9 1464.14 Sep 24th 2023 Southwest Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)