#111 Lampshade (17-13)

avg: 1005.42  •  sd: 51.98  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
206 Quahogs Win 12-7 1001.31 Jul 8th AntlerLock
163 Sunken Circus Loss 9-14 297.87 Jul 8th AntlerLock
84 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 10-8 1392.88 Jul 8th AntlerLock
130 Zero Strategy Win 11-9 1140.69 Jul 8th AntlerLock
233 Equinox** Win 15-6 846.42 Ignored Jul 8th AntlerLock
95 Scarecrow Win 6-5 1193.5 Jul 9th AntlerLock
64 Obscure Loss 12-13 1125.38 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
183 Starfire Win 12-7 1123.48 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
48 Townies Loss 8-11 1037.25 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
158 Lobrid Win 11-9 1035.16 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
177 District Cocktails Loss 7-9 370.28 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
175 Philly Twist Win 11-9 904.75 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
184 Crucible Win 13-7 1157.95 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
119 Mashed Loss 10-11 858.99 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
149 ColorBomb Loss 8-9 680.31 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
142 Goosebumps Win 13-6 1443.61 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
178 Eat Lightning Win 13-4 1249.39 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
216 Brooklyn Hive** Win 13-4 1005.07 Ignored Aug 26th The Incident 2023
62 Funk Loss 7-12 741.38 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
149 ColorBomb Win 13-2 1405.31 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
183 Starfire Win 14-6 1202.97 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
62 Funk Loss 10-11 1136.89 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
149 ColorBomb Win 14-3 1405.31 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
47 Darkwing Loss 6-12 840.19 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
6 Sprocket** Loss 5-13 1324.96 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
232 Boston Practice Squad** Win 13-5 854.63 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
65 League of Shadows Loss 5-15 648.69 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
95 Scarecrow Loss 11-13 839.66 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
64 Obscure Loss 11-15 869.21 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
158 Lobrid Win 15-12 1086.44 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)