#65 League of Shadows (11-17)

avg: 1248.69  •  sd: 46.62  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
14 Rally Loss 9-15 1318.26 Jun 24th FROGS
38 Pittsburgh Port Authority Loss 12-13 1376.11 Jun 24th FROGS
12 'Shine** Loss 6-15 1251.08 Ignored Jun 24th FROGS
45 Wild Card Win 13-11 1686.37 Jun 24th FROGS
50 Jughandle Win 13-12 1518.45 Jun 25th FROGS
13 Slow** Loss 5-13 1249.58 Ignored Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
59 Greater Baltimore Anthem Loss 5-10 735.13 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
68 Heat Wave Win 10-6 1732.33 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
45 Wild Card Loss 7-10 1067.87 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
27 Chicago Parlay Loss 7-12 1117 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
51 Classy Loss 7-11 916.91 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
5 Cleveland Crocs** Loss 4-12 1336.51 Ignored Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
47 Darkwing Loss 5-12 819.5 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
77 Bullet Train Win 13-8 1658.85 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
73 Northern Comfort Win 13-11 1423.04 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
141 PS Win 12-10 1082.69 Aug 19th Philly Invite 2023
155 NY Swipes Win 14-5 1390.42 Aug 19th Philly Invite 2023
59 Greater Baltimore Anthem Win 12-8 1750.19 Aug 19th Philly Invite 2023
78 Deadweight Loss 12-13 1036.64 Aug 20th Philly Invite 2023
66 HVAC Loss 13-15 1030.27 Aug 20th Philly Invite 2023
50 Jughandle Loss 10-12 1155.33 Aug 20th Philly Invite 2023
206 Quahogs** Win 13-5 1080.8 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
44 The Buoy Association Loss 7-13 916.48 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
111 Lampshade Win 15-5 1605.42 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
45 Wild Card Loss 10-11 1332.53 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
95 Scarecrow Win 15-12 1368.99 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
64 Obscure Loss 11-13 1021.53 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
44 The Buoy Association Loss 8-11 1108.41 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)