#19 Public Enemy (19-8)

avg: 1738.53  •  sd: 80.73  •  top 16/20: 27.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
142 Goosebumps** Win 13-4 1443.61 Ignored Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
228 Scoober Heroes** Win 13-2 910.05 Ignored Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
85 Risky Business Win 13-6 1726.47 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
239 Central Arkansas Surge** Win 13-2 770 Ignored Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
142 Goosebumps** Win 13-4 1443.61 Ignored Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
30 Waterloo Win 10-7 2004.97 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
29 RAMP Win 13-11 1851.59 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
24 Loco Win 10-9 1795.85 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
20 Toro Loss 9-12 1392.12 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
22 Storm Loss 7-12 1168.84 Jul 16th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
5 Cleveland Crocs Loss 10-14 1537.81 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
12 'Shine Win 12-11 1976.08 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
13 Slow Win 13-9 2268.15 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
9 Space Force Loss 9-11 1641.49 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
14 Rally Loss 10-11 1708.74 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
16 Hybrid Loss 9-12 1478.48 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
85 Risky Business** Win 13-2 1726.47 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Texas Sectional Championship
30 Waterloo Loss 7-13 1057.78 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Texas Sectional Championship
142 Goosebumps** Win 13-4 1443.61 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Texas Sectional Championship
228 Scoober Heroes** Win 13-1 910.05 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Texas Sectional Championship
154 Moontower** Win 13-4 1394.6 Ignored Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Texas Sectional Championship
30 Waterloo Win 12-9 1960.67 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Texas Sectional Championship
134 Sin Nombre** Win 15-6 1462.83 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
32 Mile High Trash Win 12-7 2083.36 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
30 Waterloo Win 13-7 2172.84 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
21 Love Tractor Loss 9-12 1361.66 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
32 Mile High Trash Win 11-8 1928.46 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)