#5 Cleveland Crocs (21-5)

avg: 1936.51  •  sd: 68.33  •  top 16/20: 98.9%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
14 Rally Win 14-7 2416.63 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
9 Space Force Loss 9-15 1375.22 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
22 Storm Win 14-8 2225.38 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
12 'Shine Loss 10-12 1612.96 Jul 16th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
20 Toro Win 15-9 2252.97 Jul 16th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
27 Chicago Parlay Win 12-5 2237.51 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
51 Classy Win 15-6 1983.8 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
65 League of Shadows** Win 12-4 1848.69 Ignored Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
10 Red Flag Win 13-11 2105.05 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
28 Flight Club Win 15-10 2088.88 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
31 Kansas City United Win 15-9 2110.64 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
19 Public Enemy Win 14-10 2137.23 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
13 Slow Win 11-10 1974.58 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
12 'Shine Win 11-10 1976.08 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
14 Rally Loss 11-12 1708.74 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
15 Mischief Loss 10-15 1377.28 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
16 Hybrid Win 12-11 1948.85 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
200 Pixel** Win 15-5 1124.78 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
186 2Fly2Furious** Win 15-1 1181.62 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
107 Columbus Chaos** Win 15-5 1627.53 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
57 Steamboat Win 15-7 1939.4 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East Plains Sectional Championship
88 Spectre** Win 15-6 1708.62 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
131 Stackcats Win 15-7 1490.78 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
27 Chicago Parlay Win 14-10 2036.21 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
27 Chicago Parlay Win 15-3 2237.51 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
16 Hybrid Loss 14-15 1698.85 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)