#63 I-69 (25-8)

avg: 1449.32  •  sd: 54.08  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
75 Flying Dutchmen Win 13-8 1873.7 Jun 17th SCINNY1
- Impulse** Win 15-3 1149.09 Ignored Jun 17th SCINNY1
185 CMen** Win 15-4 1361.08 Ignored Jun 17th SCINNY1
47 Beacon Loss 7-14 980.35 Jun 18th SCINNY1
130 Diesel Win 15-8 1605.47 Jun 18th SCINNY1
88 Black Lung Win 14-6 1902.74 Jun 18th SCINNY1
98 Riverside Win 13-3 1878.58 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
179 Timber** Win 13-4 1410.55 Ignored Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
201 Trident III Win 13-7 1234.02 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
131 NOx Win 13-6 1638.61 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
130 Diesel Win 13-9 1459.23 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
17 STL Lounar Loss 8-13 1413.19 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
90 HouSE Win 11-7 1763.44 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
253 Scoop** Win 13-1 648.49 Ignored Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
130 Diesel Win 11-6 1587.36 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
88 Black Lung Win 13-10 1630.88 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
75 Flying Dutchmen Win 12-11 1502.54 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
166 Enigma** Win 15-6 1439.67 Ignored Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
75 Flying Dutchmen Win 11-8 1743.15 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
84 Pittsburgh Stealers Loss 7-10 938.01 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
76 Haymaker Win 12-11 1502.16 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Central Plains Sectional Championship
249 TrIIIdent** Win 15-3 723.04 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Central Plains Sectional Championship
155 Chicago Dark Frogs Win 15-5 1493.2 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Central Plains Sectional Championship
205 On Ramp** Win 15-3 1240.19 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Central Plains Sectional Championship
126 Blink-122 Weekends Win 11-7 1521.28 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Central Plains Sectional Championship
34 Trident I Loss 8-11 1296.2 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Central Plains Sectional Championship
166 Enigma** Win 13-2 1439.67 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
88 Black Lung Win 15-11 1683.91 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
135 Trident II Win 13-8 1519.83 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
55 Colonels Loss 8-13 1007.53 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
75 Flying Dutchmen Loss 14-15 1252.54 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
76 Haymaker Loss 12-15 1076.66 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
34 Trident I Loss 12-15 1361.32 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)