#75 Flying Dutchmen (20-14)

avg: 1377.54  •  sd: 51.5  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
253 Scoop** Win 13-0 648.49 Ignored Jun 17th SCINNY1
88 Black Lung Win 13-11 1531.58 Jun 17th SCINNY1
205 On Ramp** Win 13-3 1240.19 Ignored Jun 17th SCINNY1
63 I-69 Loss 8-13 953.16 Jun 17th SCINNY1
47 Beacon Loss 4-15 963.24 Jun 18th SCINNY1
88 Black Lung Loss 11-12 1177.74 Jun 18th SCINNY1
139 Hazard Win 15-8 1538.93 Jun 18th SCINNY1
48 Alamode Loss 8-13 1060.78 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
15 GOAT Loss 3-15 1372.27 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
30 Delirium Loss 7-11 1211.78 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
83 Red Wolves Win 13-8 1844.14 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
47 Beacon Loss 9-13 1144.67 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
82 Lantern Win 12-9 1695.08 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
88 Black Lung Win 13-5 1902.74 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
228 Mischief Win 13-6 1066.63 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
117 Chimney Win 13-4 1719.57 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
63 I-69 Loss 11-12 1324.32 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
130 Diesel Loss 8-9 915.66 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
139 Hazard Win 11-7 1441.02 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
63 I-69 Loss 8-11 1083.71 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
166 Enigma Win 13-10 1167.81 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
88 Black Lung Loss 11-15 921.58 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
185 CMen** Win 13-5 1361.08 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
228 Mischief** Win 15-2 1066.63 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
47 Beacon Win 15-14 1688.24 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
130 Diesel Win 15-7 1640.66 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
88 Black Lung Win 15-13 1516.92 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
130 Diesel Win 13-9 1459.23 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
126 Blink-122 Weekends Win 13-10 1382.53 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
117 Chimney Win 13-8 1615.73 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
34 Trident I Loss 7-13 1104.28 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
55 Colonels Loss 11-13 1274.85 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
63 I-69 Win 15-14 1574.32 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
27 Omen Loss 13-14 1614.79 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)