#56 Little Red Wagon (23-10)

avg: 1497.91  •  sd: 43.54  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
37 Alliance Win 11-10 1752.37 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
198 Capitol City Chaos Win 11-5 1296.2 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
172 Memphis Pharaohs Win 13-7 1382.8 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
89 Second Nature Win 11-9 1548.81 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
134 Dyno Win 11-5 1626.16 Jun 25th Huntsville Huckfest
144 Music City Mafia Win 11-5 1565.1 Jun 25th Huntsville Huckfest
150 Nashville Mudcats Win 11-6 1472.89 Jun 25th Huntsville Huckfest
134 Dyno Win 13-3 1626.16 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
93 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 12-9 1636.73 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
61 Lost Boys Loss 9-12 1120.57 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
35 baNC Loss 11-12 1519.34 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
64 Hooch Loss 10-11 1323.57 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
30 Delirium Loss 8-13 1182.52 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
116 Atlanta Arson Loss 7-8 1018.89 Aug 5th Trestlemania V
124 Battleship Win 13-9 1479.49 Aug 5th Trestlemania V
198 Capitol City Chaos** Win 13-5 1296.2 Ignored Aug 5th Trestlemania V
64 Hooch Win 12-8 1889.72 Aug 5th Trestlemania V
116 Atlanta Arson Win 5-2 1743.89 Aug 6th Trestlemania V
198 Capitol City Chaos** Win 12-5 1296.2 Ignored Aug 6th Trestlemania V
64 Hooch Loss 8-9 1323.57 Aug 6th Trestlemania V
28 Tanasi Loss 8-13 1236.29 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
64 Hooch Win 13-8 1944.73 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
100 Python Win 13-9 1632.58 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
93 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 12-11 1416.36 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
100 Python Win 14-11 1527.35 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
85 Space Cowboys Win 9-6 1730.87 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
61 Lost Boys Loss 8-15 901.13 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
138 Queen City Kings Win 13-8 1491.31 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
30 Delirium Loss 11-13 1449.84 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
89 Second Nature Loss 10-12 1061.48 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
61 Lost Boys Win 15-12 1766.43 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
37 Alliance Win 15-14 1752.37 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
89 Second Nature Win 15-8 1864.41 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)