#85 Space Cowboys (14-17)

avg: 1312.3  •  sd: 49.46  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
118 Raptor Loss 11-12 986.59 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
42 UpRoar Loss 9-12 1259.95 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
30 Delirium Loss 5-13 1078.68 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
119 Tennessee Folklore Win 13-10 1428.73 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
118 Raptor Win 13-10 1439.73 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
93 Charleston Heat Stroke Loss 9-11 1042.16 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
35 baNC Loss 3-13 1044.34 Jul 22nd Filling the Void 2023
248 Power Point Ultimate** Win 13-1 737.63 Ignored Jul 22nd Filling the Void 2023
101 Triumph Loss 11-12 1087.73 Jul 22nd Filling the Void 2023
114 Bloom Loss 10-10 1149.31 Jul 23rd Filling the Void 2023
138 Queen City Kings Win 15-8 1559.96 Jul 23rd Filling the Void 2023
213 Stag** Win 13-2 1158.46 Ignored Jul 23rd Filling the Void 2023
144 Music City Mafia Win 15-10 1418.7 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
138 Queen City Kings Loss 11-12 870.15 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
30 Delirium Loss 6-15 1078.68 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
61 Lost Boys Win 13-12 1590.93 Aug 12th HoDown Showdown 2023
35 baNC Loss 10-15 1190.73 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
101 Triumph Win 15-13 1426.91 Aug 13th HoDown Showdown 2023
134 Dyno Win 13-6 1626.16 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
28 Tanasi Loss 9-13 1313.88 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
93 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 12-10 1529.49 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
30 Delirium Loss 9-13 1260.11 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
100 Python Win 15-8 1778.82 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
61 Lost Boys Loss 11-15 1084.77 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
56 Little Red Wagon Loss 6-9 1079.35 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Coast Sectional Championship
37 Alliance Loss 7-15 1027.37 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
35 baNC Loss 10-12 1406.21 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
114 Bloom Win 13-6 1749.31 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
64 Hooch Loss 4-13 848.57 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
138 Queen City Kings Win 15-9 1510.63 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
61 Lost Boys Win 13-11 1694.78 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)