#24 Blueprint (22-6)

avg: 1764.52  •  sd: 53.64  •  top 16/20: 0.3%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
71 Big Wrench Win 13-10 1723.15 Jun 18th Sprout Round Robin
26 Sprout Win 13-8 2241.92 Jun 18th Sprout Round Robin
- Tire Win 13-12 1517.63 Jun 18th Sprout Round Robin
79 Red Tide Loss 9-12 1026.56 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
82 Lantern Win 10-4 1949.71 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
92 Club M - Manic Win 11-6 1838.12 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
26 Sprout Loss 10-12 1507.64 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
110 CITYWIDE Special Win 11-7 1634.65 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
46 DeMo Win 12-9 1909.01 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
29 Mallard Win 12-10 1966.39 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
61 Lost Boys Loss 9-10 1340.93 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
57 Fungi Win 10-9 1617.54 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
29 Mallard Loss 7-9 1448.93 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
83 Red Wolves Win 13-5 1947.98 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
82 Lantern Win 12-8 1790.87 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
52 Oakgrove Boys Win 12-9 1873.05 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
94 Magma Bears Win 11-10 1416.23 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
202 Spring Break '93** Win 15-2 1260.13 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Metro New York Sectional Championship
252 Deepfake** Win 15-0 649.62 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Metro New York Sectional Championship
94 Magma Bears Win 14-7 1874.12 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Metro New York Sectional Championship
62 Shade Win 15-8 2014.45 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Metro New York Sectional Championship
158 Alibi** Win 13-4 1487.94 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
7 DiG Loss 9-15 1652.03 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
26 Sprout Loss 10-12 1507.64 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
51 TireBizFriz Win 15-11 1933.67 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
44 Red Circus Win 13-11 1814.68 Sep 24th 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
21 Phoenix Win 12-10 2097.38 Sep 24th 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
26 Sprout Win 14-11 2059.1 Sep 24th 2023 Northeast Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)