#57 Fungi (20-15)

avg: 1492.54  •  sd: 46.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
174 Colorado Cutthroat: Youth Club U-20 Boys** Win 15-2 1422.65 Ignored Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
128 PowderHogs Win 11-7 1515.39 Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
36 Kansas City Smokestack Loss 7-10 1252.23 Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
159 Choice City Hops Win 12-7 1405.16 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
54 ISO Atmo Loss 8-15 954.54 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
36 Kansas City Smokestack Win 11-10 1766.9 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
10 Rhino Slam! Loss 10-15 1632.2 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
48 Alamode Win 15-12 1857.43 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
29 Mallard Loss 13-15 1514.09 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
48 Alamode Loss 12-13 1431.94 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
70 OAT Loss 10-11 1274.46 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
141 Make it Rain Win 15-10 1425.14 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
47 Beacon Win 10-9 1688.24 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
82 Lantern Loss 8-13 853.55 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
38 Phantom Win 11-7 2091.87 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
24 Blueprint Loss 9-10 1639.52 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
30 Delirium Loss 12-13 1553.68 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
38 Phantom Loss 10-14 1226.28 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
60 Switchback Win 10-9 1600.77 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
113 Utah Hatu Win 12-9 1502.5 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
18 Dark Star-D Loss 7-13 1325.76 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
65 Sawtooth Win 13-12 1568.15 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
49 Shrimp Win 12-8 1996.38 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
18 Dark Star-D Loss 10-12 1645.17 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
151 Bonafide Scrubs Win 13-2 1521.21 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
54 ISO Atmo Loss 10-13 1191.21 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
- YCC U20 Developmental Team** Win 13-1 988.43 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
159 Choice City Hops Win 13-8 1380.81 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
174 Colorado Cutthroat: Youth Club U-20 Boys Win 13-9 1241.22 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
54 ISO Atmo Win 15-10 1972.95 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
48 Alamode Loss 9-11 1307.73 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
105 Dreadnought Win 12-10 1425.95 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
68 Brawl Loss 9-10 1293.55 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
97 Texas Duffy Win 11-10 1407.15 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
54 ISO Atmo Win 11-9 1768.56 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)