#69 Clutch (20-9)

avg: 1410.39  •  sd: 75.27  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
168 San Antonio Warhawks Win 13-4 1431.23 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
149 Rawhide Win 13-2 1527.02 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
153 Sprawl Win 11-9 1148.07 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
9 Doublewide Loss 9-13 1688.24 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
97 Texas Duffy Win 13-10 1610.29 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
50 H.I.P Win 13-1 2153.51 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
54 ISO Atmo Loss 12-13 1394.35 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
99 SOUF Win 12-11 1380.01 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
66 OC Crows Win 15-10 1890.49 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
74 Hazard Loss 9-14 909.58 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
36 Kansas City Smokestack Loss 12-13 1516.9 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
99 SOUF Win 13-7 1812.54 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
254 Adventure Time** Win 13-0 566.76 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
225 Forge** Win 13-3 1088.24 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
102 Harvey Cats Win 11-8 1572.8 Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
203 Shrimp Discs** Win 13-5 1252.03 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
165 Firefly TX Win 8-7 983.17 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
50 H.I.P Win 13-8 2049.67 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
50 H.I.P Loss 9-10 1428.51 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
168 San Antonio Warhawks Win 15-6 1431.23 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
251 Throwing Shade** Win 15-5 650.89 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
122 Lil Heroes Win 15-12 1388.92 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
98 Riverside Loss 13-14 1153.58 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
122 Lil Heroes Loss 13-15 874.25 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
105 Dreadnought Loss 7-14 604.95 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
68 Brawl Loss 10-13 1090.41 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
153 Sprawl Win 13-3 1498.87 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
122 Lil Heroes Win 13-6 1688.43 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
102 Harvey Cats Win 15-8 1772 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)