#54 ISO Atmo (23-7)

avg: 1519.35  •  sd: 47.19  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
78 Drought Win 13-9 1792.67 Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
159 Choice City Hops** Win 15-6 1484.65 Ignored Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
171 Sonoran Dog Win 13-7 1385.74 Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
57 Fungi Win 15-8 2057.35 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
128 PowderHogs Win 15-7 1648.49 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
41 Johnny Walker Win 13-12 1736.75 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
182 Anchor** Win 15-6 1385.91 Ignored Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
69 Clutch Win 13-12 1535.39 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
99 SOUF Win 10-5 1828.91 Jul 15th TCT Select Flight West 2023
11 Furious George Loss 6-12 1478.13 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
58 Skipjack Win 15-12 1791.2 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
70 OAT Win 15-11 1780.63 Jul 16th TCT Select Flight West 2023
65 Sawtooth Win 11-8 1808.76 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
142 Fat Stacks Win 13-5 1569.23 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
49 Shrimp Loss 12-13 1430.23 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
53 Sundance Kids Win 13-10 1852.17 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
18 Dark Star-D Loss 8-13 1387.13 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
49 Shrimp Win 11-9 1804.43 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
57 Fungi Win 13-10 1820.68 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
159 Choice City Hops** Win 13-5 1484.65 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
174 Colorado Cutthroat: Youth Club U-20 Boys Win 13-6 1422.65 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
- YCC U20 Developmental Team** Win 13-3 988.43 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
57 Fungi Loss 10-15 1038.94 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
151 Bonafide Scrubs Win 13-5 1521.21 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
159 Choice City Hops Win 15-9 1400.13 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
77 BARNSTORM Loss 9-10 1249.75 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
105 Dreadnought Win 10-9 1312.83 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
50 H.I.P Loss 10-15 1099.91 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
102 Harvey Cats Win 15-12 1507.69 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
57 Fungi Loss 9-11 1243.33 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)