#102 Harvey Cats (16-13)

avg: 1207.19  •  sd: 47.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
48 Alamode Loss 10-12 1318.82 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
77 BARNSTORM Win 12-9 1720.12 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
97 Texas Duffy Loss 11-12 1157.15 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
77 BARNSTORM Loss 12-13 1249.75 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
153 Sprawl Win 10-6 1395.03 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
125 Cowtown Cannons Win 10-8 1319.28 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
254 Adventure Time** Win 13-2 566.76 Ignored Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
165 Firefly TX Win 13-8 1354.33 Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
69 Clutch Loss 8-11 1044.78 Aug 5th Dog Days of Summer 23
225 Forge** Win 13-5 1088.24 Ignored Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
50 H.I.P Loss 6-13 953.51 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
203 Shrimp Discs Win 13-5 1252.03 Aug 6th Dog Days of Summer 23
154 Odyssey Win 13-9 1312.85 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
202 Spring Break '93 Win 13-5 1260.13 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
209 Long Island Riff Raff** Win 13-3 1189.54 Ignored Aug 26th The Incident 2023
70 OAT Loss 8-11 1033.85 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
115 Bomb Squad Win 14-7 1727.22 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
70 OAT Loss 8-14 863.43 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
222 RGV Tlacuaches** Win 13-3 1106.77 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
48 Alamode Loss 5-13 956.94 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
165 Firefly TX Win 13-8 1354.33 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
125 Cowtown Cannons Win 13-7 1614.15 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
48 Alamode Loss 11-15 1175.77 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
68 Brawl Loss 10-15 964.95 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
97 Texas Duffy Loss 9-12 936.78 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
54 ISO Atmo Loss 12-15 1218.86 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
122 Lil Heroes Win 12-9 1433.79 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
153 Sprawl Win 11-9 1148.07 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
69 Clutch Loss 8-15 845.58 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)