#68 Brawl (19-11)

avg: 1418.55  •  sd: 59.36  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
9 Doublewide** Loss 3-13 1506.81 Ignored Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
218 Supercell** Win 13-1 1132.83 Ignored Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
203 Shrimp Discs** Win 13-1 1252.03 Ignored Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
50 H.I.P Loss 10-12 1315.39 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
149 Rawhide Win 13-1 1527.02 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
97 Texas Duffy Win 10-7 1671.81 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
129 Foxtrot Win 11-6 1589.59 Jul 22nd Riverside Classic 2023
125 Cowtown Cannons Win 13-4 1656.61 Jul 22nd Riverside Classic 2023
197 Texas United Win 9-4 1297.04 Jul 22nd Riverside Classic 2023
98 Riverside Loss 10-14 879.88 Jul 23rd Riverside Classic 2023
125 Cowtown Cannons Win 14-9 1530.48 Jul 23rd Riverside Classic 2023
129 Foxtrot Loss 8-9 917.89 Jul 23rd Riverside Classic 2023
65 Sawtooth Loss 8-10 1180.48 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
142 Fat Stacks Win 13-9 1387.79 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
74 Hazard Loss 10-13 1055.31 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2023
78 Drought Loss 4-13 774.11 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
171 Sonoran Dog Win 13-5 1428.2 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
128 PowderHogs Loss 8-13 552.33 Aug 20th Ski Town Classic 2023
50 H.I.P Win 13-11 1782.35 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
203 Shrimp Discs** Win 13-4 1252.03 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
153 Sprawl Win 12-8 1340.02 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
129 Foxtrot Win 13-7 1600.43 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
48 Alamode Win 15-12 1857.43 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
102 Harvey Cats Win 15-10 1660.8 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
50 H.I.P Loss 11-15 1172.35 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
9 Doublewide Loss 7-15 1506.81 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
69 Clutch Win 13-10 1738.53 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
57 Fungi Win 10-9 1617.54 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
77 BARNSTORM Win 14-7 1957.64 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
50 H.I.P Loss 13-15 1339.33 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)