#28 Flight Club (19-7)

avg: 1635.27  •  sd: 50.01  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
134 Sin Nombre Win 13-7 1420.37 Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
157 Mesteño** Win 13-5 1387.33 Ignored Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
41 California Burrito Win 12-6 2067.53 Jun 24th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
80 Flagstaff Ultimate Win 15-6 1742.99 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
35 Impact Loss 12-13 1392.09 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
32 Mile High Trash Loss 9-11 1313.64 Jun 25th Colorado Summer Solstice 2023
11 Seattle Mixtape Loss 10-14 1475.32 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
23 Oregon Scorch Win 13-12 1801.76 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
32 Mile High Trash Win 11-8 1928.46 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
23 Oregon Scorch Loss 8-12 1235.6 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
15 Mischief Loss 8-15 1266.07 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
35 Impact Win 14-13 1642.09 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
46 Revival Win 13-3 2036.06 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
52 Roma Ultima Win 11-6 1900.79 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
25 MOONDOG Win 10-9 1773.28 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
30 Waterloo Win 15-9 2130.79 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
51 Classy Win 10-9 1508.8 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
5 Cleveland Crocs Loss 10-15 1482.91 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
102 Space Ghosts Win 15-4 1638.16 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
166 All Jeeps, All Night. Win 15-8 1326.43 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
144 The Strangers Win 15-7 1429.16 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
32 Mile High Trash Win 14-12 1783.81 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed Rocky Mountain Sectional Championship
101 Green Chiles Win 15-4 1644.26 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
30 Waterloo Win 11-9 1864.51 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
85 Risky Business Win 12-7 1646.98 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
32 Mile High Trash Loss 10-11 1437.85 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)