#45 Wild Card (14-14)

avg: 1457.53  •  sd: 44.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
12 'Shine Loss 12-15 1550.59 Jun 24th FROGS
50 Jughandle Loss 13-15 1179.27 Jun 24th FROGS
65 League of Shadows Loss 11-13 1019.85 Jun 24th FROGS
7 XIST Loss 5-15 1320.86 Jun 24th FROGS
38 Pittsburgh Port Authority Loss 12-14 1280.15 Jun 25th FROGS
13 Slow Loss 4-13 1249.58 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
59 Greater Baltimore Anthem Win 11-9 1558.24 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
68 Heat Wave Win 9-8 1361.17 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
65 League of Shadows Win 10-7 1638.35 Jul 15th Boston Invite 2023
10 Red Flag Loss 4-13 1276.21 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
49 Donuts Win 13-12 1521.52 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
36 BW Ultimate Loss 10-11 1386.22 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
24 Loco Loss 8-13 1174.69 Aug 26th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
36 BW Ultimate Loss 9-12 1165.85 Aug 27th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
58 Lights Out Win 13-12 1436.04 Aug 27th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2023
190 Rainbow** Win 13-4 1165.25 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
47 Darkwing Win 15-9 1934.98 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
64 Obscure Win 13-7 1807.91 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
65 League of Shadows Win 11-10 1373.69 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
6 Sprocket Loss 8-15 1360.15 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
44 The Buoy Association Win 13-11 1702.86 Sep 10th 2023 Mixed East New England Sectional Championship
71 Grand Army Win 15-6 1804.31 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
68 Heat Wave Win 13-10 1564.31 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
40 UNION Loss 8-13 995.7 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
7 XIST Loss 10-15 1467.26 Sep 23rd 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
55 Garbage Plates Win 15-8 1907.08 Sep 24th 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
44 The Buoy Association Win 11-10 1599.01 Sep 24th 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
48 Townies Loss 12-14 1181.91 Sep 24th 2023 Northeast Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)