#182 Dayton (14-6)

avg: 1190.4  •  sd: 80.47  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
126 Towson Win 11-10 1514.09 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
387 Ohio-B** Win 13-0 842.5 Ignored Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
319 Edinboro Win 13-3 1254.16 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
212 West Virginia Win 10-5 1653.4 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
319 Edinboro Win 15-4 1254.16 Feb 4th Huckin in the Hills X
212 West Virginia Win 15-4 1679.5 Feb 4th Huckin in the Hills X
68 Franciscan Loss 12-15 1359.99 Feb 4th Huckin in the Hills X
271 Cincinnati -B Win 13-3 1457.68 Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
409 Denison** Win 13-1 410.55 Ignored Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
369 Illinois-B** Win 13-1 960.32 Ignored Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
118 Kentucky Loss 10-12 1177.79 Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
222 Ball State Win 15-4 1643.66 Mar 3rd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
347 Wright State** Win 15-3 1127.36 Ignored Mar 3rd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
157 Miami (Ohio) Loss 9-11 1040.56 Mar 3rd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
268 Akron Loss 8-9 746.21 Apr 20th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
322 Cleveland State Win 11-4 1233.44 Apr 20th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
157 Miami (Ohio) Loss 8-9 1164.76 Apr 20th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
322 Cleveland State Win 13-4 1233.44 Apr 21st Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
282 Toledo Loss 7-11 351.66 Apr 21st Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
347 Wright State** Win 15-5 1127.36 Ignored Apr 21st Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)