#165 Dayton (12-13)

avg: 1211.18  •  sd: 53.53  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
321 Cincinnati -B** Win 15-3 1201.89 Ignored Mar 1st The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience DUDE
271 Wooster Win 15-6 1406.69 Mar 1st The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience DUDE
346 Wright State** Win 15-4 1070.23 Ignored Mar 1st The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience DUDE
355 Dayton-B** Win 15-2 1003.57 Ignored Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience DUDE
346 Wright State** Win 15-2 1070.23 Ignored Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience DUDE
218 Miami (Ohio) Win 14-10 1410.42 Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience DUDE
125 Butler Win 11-7 1818.52 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
58 Illinois Loss 11-12 1547.94 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
148 Grand Valley Loss 9-10 1154.74 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
178 Ohio Loss 8-11 801.14 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
148 Grand Valley Loss 7-10 890.07 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
190 Vanderbilt Loss 9-10 981.32 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
178 Ohio Win 7-6 1291.75 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
80 Case Western Reserve Loss 5-12 962.39 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
260 Toledo Win 13-6 1437.21 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
243 Kent State Win 12-5 1506.75 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
178 Ohio Win 11-10 1291.75 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
80 Case Western Reserve Loss 14-15 1437.39 Apr 13th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
39 Cincinnati** Loss 4-15 1211.62 Ignored Apr 13th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
217 Akron Win 15-9 1529.52 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Loss 9-12 1161.21 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
39 Cincinnati** Loss 6-15 1211.62 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
74 Temple Loss 6-15 1000.01 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
141 Pittsburgh-B Loss 12-15 997.82 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
167 Pennsylvania Loss 7-15 609.59 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)