#76 Georgetown (5-7)

avg: 1205.59  •  sd: 84.15  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
124 Davidson Win 15-8 1496.03 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
21 North Carolina State Loss 4-15 1125.13 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
15 Penn State Loss 9-15 1281.41 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
199 North Carolina-B Win 15-8 909.53 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
69 Carleton College-CHOP Win 14-9 1715.43 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
74 Indiana Loss 10-11 1086.97 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
92 Tennessee Win 15-11 1464.36 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
34 South Carolina Loss 12-15 1260.26 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
56 Missouri Loss 8-13 858.2 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
12 Alabama-Huntsville** Loss 5-15 1250.68 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
74 Indiana Win 14-12 1432.93 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
80 Case Western Reserve Loss 6-11 642.38 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)