#223 SUNY-Albany (1-7)

avg: -360.51  •  sd: 72.16  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
208 Connecticut College Loss 4-7 -390.61 Mar 2nd SouthHill Slam
226 Cornell-B Win 7-4 3.46 Mar 2nd SouthHill Slam
164 Ithaca** Loss 0-9 34 Ignored Mar 2nd SouthHill Slam
208 Connecticut College Loss 0-9 -494.46 Mar 3rd SouthHill Slam
226 Cornell-B Loss 4-4 -492.7 Mar 3rd SouthHill Slam
209 Vermont-C Loss 5-8 -353.97 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
203 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 4-9 -422.14 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
192 Syracuse** Loss 1-12 -290.13 Ignored Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2024
**Blowout Eligible


The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)