#32 Central Florida (30-2)

avg: 1817.19  •  sd: 116.78  •  top 16/20: 6.4%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
122 Boston College** Win 13-3 1675.76 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
221 LSU** Win 13-0 856.64 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
170 Jacksonville State** Win 13-0 1361.77 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
66 Trinity Win 13-3 2056.11 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
107 Florida State** Win 11-1 1782.08 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
155 Tulane** Win 13-0 1448.55 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
66 Trinity Win 8-6 1756.61 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
202 Alabama** Win 11-0 1034.07 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
234 Florida Tech** Win 11-0 661.95 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
241 Florida-B** Win 11-0 435.05 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
61 Florida Win 9-5 2022.5 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
221 LSU** Win 11-0 856.64 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
194 Georgia College** Win 11-0 1119.2 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
61 Florida Loss 0-3 893.44 Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
149 Texas A&M** Win 13-0 1477.51 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
232 North Texas** Win 13-1 699.18 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
48 Colorado College Win 11-9 1862.57 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
196 Texas-San Antonio** Win 13-3 1086.27 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
93 Rice Win 15-4 1881.27 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
47 Southern California Win 11-3 2236.66 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
92 Middlebury Win 15-2 1904.95 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
115 Denver** Win 13-1 1719.61 Ignored Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
107 Florida State** Win 15-4 1782.08 Ignored Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
241 Florida-B** Win 15-0 435.05 Ignored Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
214 Miami (Florida)** Win 15-0 917.24 Ignored Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
61 Florida Win 14-4 2093.44 Apr 14th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
61 Florida Win 15-4 2093.44 Apr 14th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2024
170 Jacksonville State** Win 15-1 1361.77 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
211 Vanderbilt** Win 15-1 932.2 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
91 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 15-0 1905.72 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
31 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 6-15 1232.1 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
107 Florida State Win 10-8 1444.75 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)