#117 Chimney (20-19)

avg: 1119.57  •  sd: 48.64  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
47 Beacon Loss 5-15 963.24 Jun 17th SCINNY1
139 Hazard Win 15-7 1574.12 Jun 17th SCINNY1
- Flying Pig Win 15-5 1122.91 Jun 17th SCINNY1
130 Diesel Loss 8-13 544.5 Jun 18th SCINNY1
88 Black Lung Loss 11-14 989.4 Jun 18th SCINNY1
205 On Ramp Win 15-3 1240.19 Jun 18th SCINNY1
17 STL Lounar** Loss 1-13 1309.35 Ignored Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
156 NOMAD Win 13-11 1118.79 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
90 HouSE Loss 11-12 1171.54 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
45 Kenji's BBB Loss 9-13 1166.1 Jul 8th Heavyweights 2023
143 STL Moonar Win 13-6 1566.77 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
135 Trident II Win 13-5 1623.67 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
55 Colonels Loss 8-13 1007.53 Jul 9th Heavyweights 2023
189 Dirty Laundry Win 13-12 873.17 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
206 Rebels Win 13-3 1213.29 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
52 Oakgrove Boys Loss 7-13 970.15 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
186 Town Hall Stars Win 13-7 1311.83 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
121 John Doe Win 12-7 1609.86 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
173 Crypt Win 9-6 1242.73 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
166 Enigma Win 13-8 1335.83 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
75 Flying Dutchmen Loss 4-13 777.54 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
139 Hazard Win 13-5 1574.12 Aug 19th Motown Throwdown 2023
166 Enigma Win 11-8 1205.28 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
88 Black Lung Loss 8-14 766.71 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
84 Pittsburgh Stealers Loss 8-11 962.07 Aug 20th Motown Throwdown 2023
250 Rotisserie Chicken** Win 13-3 708.04 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
166 Enigma Loss 8-15 274.86 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
88 Black Lung Loss 7-13 745.21 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
55 Colonels Loss 4-15 903.69 Sep 9th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
130 Diesel Loss 13-14 915.66 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
216 Exhaust Pipe Win 15-7 1134.16 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
185 CMen Win 11-6 1307.77 Sep 10th 2023 Mens East Plains Sectional Championship
130 Diesel Win 12-11 1165.66 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
75 Flying Dutchmen Loss 8-13 881.38 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
34 Trident I Loss 5-13 1061.81 Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
27 Omen** Loss 2-15 1139.79 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
130 Diesel Win 15-5 1640.66 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
166 Enigma Win 15-7 1439.67 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
88 Black Lung Loss 13-14 1177.74 Sep 24th 2023 Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)