#48 Alamode (21-10)

avg: 1556.94  •  sd: 40.22  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
77 BARNSTORM Win 13-7 1932.28 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
97 Texas Duffy Win 13-6 1882.15 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
102 Harvey Cats Win 12-10 1445.32 Jun 24th Texas 2 Finger 2023
149 Rawhide** Win 13-3 1527.02 Ignored Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
50 H.I.P Win 12-10 1791.63 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
9 Doublewide Loss 4-11 1506.81 Jun 25th Texas 2 Finger 2023
10 Rhino Slam! Loss 9-15 1570.32 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
57 Fungi Loss 12-15 1192.05 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
22 SoCal Condors Loss 7-15 1252.4 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
57 Fungi Win 13-12 1617.54 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
141 Make it Rain Win 15-9 1487.02 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
70 OAT Win 12-8 1840.62 Jul 9th TCT Pro Elite Challenge West 2023
75 Flying Dutchmen Win 13-8 1873.7 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
30 Delirium Loss 13-14 1553.68 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
15 GOAT Loss 9-15 1456.79 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight East 2023
82 Lantern Win 14-12 1570.67 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
55 Colonels Win 15-13 1717.87 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
46 DeMo Win 15-14 1688.65 Jul 30th TCT Select Flight East 2023
222 RGV Tlacuaches** Win 13-5 1106.77 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
102 Harvey Cats Win 13-5 1807.19 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
165 Firefly TX Win 13-6 1458.17 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
125 Cowtown Cannons Win 13-6 1656.61 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
50 H.I.P Loss 14-15 1428.51 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
102 Harvey Cats Win 15-11 1588.36 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
68 Brawl Loss 12-15 1118.06 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Texas Sectional Championship
98 Riverside Win 12-8 1719.73 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
122 Lil Heroes Win 13-11 1317.27 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
9 Doublewide Loss 5-15 1506.81 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
57 Fungi Win 11-9 1741.75 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
50 H.I.P Loss 11-15 1172.35 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
77 BARNSTORM Win 11-9 1623.96 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)