#25 Victoria (15-11)

avg: 1958.85  •  sd: 72.73  •  top 16/20: 25.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
10 British Columbia Loss 7-11 1685.03 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
46 Stanford Win 9-8 1890.36 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
54 UCLA Win 12-3 2304.08 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
9 California-Santa Cruz Win 8-7 2310.14 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
58 Illinois Win 11-5 2272.94 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
8 Washington Loss 5-13 1616.59 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
5 Colorado Loss 11-13 2130.07 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
54 UCLA Win 9-6 2122.65 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
34 Utah Loss 7-11 1373.26 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
13 California Loss 11-13 1874.79 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
5 Colorado Loss 5-13 1758.91 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
42 Colorado State Loss 6-12 1205.45 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
41 California-San Diego Win 11-10 1917.31 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
31 California-Santa Barbara Win 13-8 2358.04 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
11 Oregon State Loss 13-14 2010.73 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
54 UCLA Win 15-4 2304.08 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
34 Utah Win 15-10 2293.75 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
23 Western Washington Win 15-13 2202.46 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
9 California-Santa Cruz Win 13-12 2310.14 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
23 Western Washington Loss 13-14 1863.28 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
8 Washington Loss 10-15 1762.98 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
224 Oregon-B Win 13-6 1576.39 Apr 19th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2025
11 Oregon State Loss 10-12 1897.61 Apr 19th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2025
378 Portland State** Win 13-0 858.56 Ignored Apr 19th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2025
157 Washington-B Win 13-6 1840.2 Apr 19th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2025
23 Western Washington Win 15-14 2113.28 Apr 20th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)