#103 Marquette (14-5)

avg: 1453.26  •  sd: 64  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
257 DePaul Win 13-4 1457.03 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
297 Knox** Win 13-4 1310.94 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
135 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 8-7 1446.39 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
238 Illinois State Win 13-5 1524.53 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
110 Iowa Loss 9-10 1298.75 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
73 Iowa State Win 10-9 1726.89 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
93 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Win 11-9 1736.84 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
423 Northern Michigan** Win 15-6 600 Ignored Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
135 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 12-9 1666.76 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
300 Wisconsin-Stevens Point** Win 15-6 1281.61 Ignored Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
155 Wisconsin-La Crosse Loss 10-11 1127.87 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
143 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 13-9 1707.15 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
44 Wisconsin Loss 7-15 1177.22 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
176 Northern Iowa Win 13-12 1295.83 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
208 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 13-11 1262.85 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
222 Wisconsin-B Win 15-8 1554.77 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
44 Wisconsin Loss 10-15 1323.62 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
3 Carleton College** Loss 5-15 1764.7 Ignored Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
155 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 14-10 1651.57 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)