#45 Texas A&M (8-6)

avg: 1430.98  •  sd: 127.13  •  top 16/20: 0.6%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
14 Minnesota Win 11-10 1937.19 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
46 Florida Loss 5-13 829.85 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
31 Georgia Tech Loss 5-12 966.94 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
18 Brigham Young Loss 8-13 1250.45 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
9 Brown Loss 8-13 1390.01 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
55 Michigan Win 14-10 1753.7 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
43 Wisconsin Loss 11-15 1063.23 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
245 Tulane-B** Win 13-0 288.2 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
62 Central Florida Win 13-9 1708.75 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
152 Sam Houston** Win 13-0 1305.65 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
193 Trinity** Win 13-3 990.39 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
46 Florida Win 11-6 1976.55 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
74 Indiana Loss 9-10 1086.97 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
97 Arkansas Win 13-3 1659.62 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)