#38 Texas A&M (19-12)

avg: 1885.46  •  sd: 78.66  •  top 16/20: 1.1%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
46 Florida Loss 5-13 1185.88 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 5-12 1388.02 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
11 Minnesota Win 11-10 2364.55 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
17 Brigham Young Loss 8-13 1624.47 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
8 Brown Loss 8-13 1780.23 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
37 Michigan Win 14-10 2284.45 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
36 Wisconsin Loss 11-15 1512.74 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
69 Central Florida Win 13-9 2057.1 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
286 Sam Houston** Win 13-0 1389.48 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
281 Trinity** Win 13-3 1427.06 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
410 Tulane-B** Win 13-0 379.14 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
95 Arkansas Win 13-3 2134.59 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
46 Florida Win 11-6 2332.57 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
83 Indiana Loss 9-10 1456.32 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
17 Brigham Young Loss 6-13 1520.63 Mar 15th College Mens Centex Tier 1
119 Colorado College Win 12-9 1753.52 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
49 Michigan State Win 13-6 2378.48 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
116 LSU Win 13-5 2031.09 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
10 Texas Loss 9-11 1996.98 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
128 Houston Win 13-1 1988.32 Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
295 Texas A&M-B** Win 13-3 1336.36 Ignored Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
167 Texas-San Antonio Win 11-8 1626.72 Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
128 Houston Win 15-4 1988.32 Apr 14th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
10 Texas Loss 2-15 1646.19 Apr 14th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
95 Arkansas Win 12-7 2055.1 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
51 Missouri Win 11-5 2364.88 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
10 Texas Loss 6-15 1646.19 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
197 Texas State** Win 15-4 1729.97 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
1 Colorado Loss 8-15 1934.92 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
53 Colorado State Win 14-10 2154.75 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
20 Washington University Loss 8-14 1550.12 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)