#189 Worcester Polytechnic Institute (12-15)

avg: 1159.5  •  sd: 53.95  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
80 Bates Loss 2-11 990.96 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
112 Boston College Loss 5-11 855.9 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
275 Central Connecticut State Loss 6-7 723.66 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
210 Northeastern-B Loss 6-7 955.66 Mar 23rd Ocean State Invite
80 Bates Loss 4-10 990.96 Mar 24th Ocean State Invite
259 Brandeis Win 9-6 1333.5 Mar 24th Ocean State Invite
80 Bates Loss 4-9 990.96 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
225 Colby Win 9-2 1635.69 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
329 Harvard-B Win 11-4 1200.16 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
293 Maine Win 12-4 1345.62 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
80 Bates Loss 6-8 1290.47 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
142 Bryant Loss 7-12 820.26 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
138 Tufts-B Win 8-7 1488.74 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
314 Clark Win 15-5 1262.41 Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
341 Holy Cross Win 13-7 1112.52 Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
238 Roger Williams Loss 8-13 493.29 Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
55 Williams Loss 5-12 1149.57 Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
279 Amherst Win 14-6 1435.51 Apr 14th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
238 Roger Williams Win 9-4 1589.45 Apr 14th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
55 Williams Loss 8-13 1253.41 Apr 14th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
279 Amherst Win 15-5 1435.51 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
80 Bates Loss 11-13 1362.12 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
115 Bowdoin Loss 9-12 1091.57 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
259 Brandeis Win 12-4 1514.93 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
80 Bates Loss 6-15 990.96 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
142 Bryant Loss 5-13 740.78 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
218 Middlebury-B Win 10-9 1179.71 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)