#151 Lipscomb (7-7)

avg: 1272.07  •  sd: 81.93  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
284 Harding Win 13-5 1361.43 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
117 Mississippi State Loss 11-13 1146.41 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
201 Saint Louis Win 13-4 1660.04 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
185 Union (Tennessee) Win 13-11 1358.04 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
101 Berry Loss 10-13 1134.3 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
56 Indiana Loss 8-15 1114.1 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
87 Missouri S&T Win 15-6 2107.58 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
129 Asbury Loss 5-13 740.47 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
256 Illinois-B Win 13-4 1460.82 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
178 Ohio Loss 11-12 1041.75 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
169 Michigan Tech Win 10-9 1329 Mar 29th Corny Classic College 2025
129 Asbury Loss 7-8 1215.47 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
148 Grand Valley Loss 7-8 1154.74 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
178 Ohio Win 9-8 1291.75 Mar 30th Corny Classic College 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)