#87 Missouri S&T (23-8)

avg: 1507.58  •  sd: 54.5  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
101 Berry Win 13-11 1691.29 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
320 Mississippi State-B** Win 13-2 1203.09 Ignored Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
303 Tennessee Tech** Win 13-2 1271.79 Ignored Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
196 Kennesaw State Win 15-9 1598.13 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
151 Lipscomb Loss 6-15 672.07 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
117 Mississippi State Win 10-9 1500.25 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
191 Oklahoma State Win 10-8 1363.07 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
130 North Texas Win 10-9 1455.22 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
163 Truman State Win 13-8 1718.38 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
367 Dallas** Win 13-2 946.22 Ignored Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
158 Grinnell Win 9-4 1833.99 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
201 Saint Louis Win 7-5 1388.19 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Loss 8-9 1548.33 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
39 Cincinnati Loss 10-15 1358.02 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
73 Iowa State Loss 13-14 1476.89 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
153 Kentucky Win 12-8 1706.74 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
93 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Loss 11-15 1106.47 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
100 Alabama Loss 7-9 1186.26 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
96 Missouri Win 15-6 2077.57 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
121 Northwestern Win 15-8 1928.16 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
284 Harding** Win 13-5 1361.43 Ignored Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
194 John Brown Win 13-9 1504.19 Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
163 Truman State Win 13-4 1822.22 Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Loss 8-13 1177.17 Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
284 Harding** Win 15-6 1361.43 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
194 John Brown Win 14-8 1621.66 Apr 13th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
284 Harding Win 15-7 1361.43 Apr 26th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
163 Truman State Win 15-11 1603.38 Apr 26th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
89 Colorado College Win 12-8 1938.03 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
194 John Brown Win 13-12 1210.63 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Loss 9-13 1254.76 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)