#85 Cornell (17-13)

avg: 1575.01  •  sd: 50.28  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 8-13 1701.06 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
12 Carleton College Loss 8-13 1728.46 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
183 South Florida Win 13-5 1786.53 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
74 Cincinnati Win 13-11 1842.84 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
18 Northeastern Loss 6-13 1508.05 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
46 Florida Loss 12-13 1660.88 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
20 Washington University Loss 11-12 1961.16 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 1-13 943.75 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
289 Drexel Win 13-6 1369.67 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
148 Johns Hopkins Win 13-4 1915.12 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
72 Appalachian State Loss 9-13 1210.09 Mar 3rd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 13-12 1732.47 Mar 3rd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
126 Towson Loss 11-13 1160.25 Mar 3rd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
163 Columbia Win 10-9 1400.42 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
131 Yale Loss 7-10 989.71 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
92 Pennsylvania Loss 10-11 1414.36 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
152 Harvard Win 11-10 1436.24 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
176 Navy Win 13-9 1630.99 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
93 Princeton Win 11-10 1663.03 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
26 McGill Loss 4-13 1397.12 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
92 Pennsylvania Win 7-6 1664.36 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
208 Carleton University Win 13-9 1506.1 Apr 20th Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Win 10-9 1668.75 Apr 20th Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
30 Ottawa Loss 8-14 1404.65 Apr 21st Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
162 Rutgers Win 12-7 1803.06 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
283 Hofstra** Win 15-3 1409.27 Ignored Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
103 SUNY-Binghamton Win 13-7 2049.18 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
163 Columbia Win 15-10 1729.03 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Win 15-10 1997.36 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
30 Ottawa Loss 7-15 1340.68 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)