#36 Haverford/Bryn Mawr (22-7)

avg: 1618.48  •  sd: 75.57  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
163 SUNY-Geneseo** Win 9-1 1246.2 Ignored Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
96 Ithaca Win 8-5 1547.51 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
39 Wesleyan Loss 6-8 1286.34 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
98 Lehigh Loss 5-7 762.04 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
140 George Washington** Win 10-3 1391.33 Ignored Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
98 Lehigh Win 10-4 1690.18 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
39 Wesleyan Loss 9-11 1337.63 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
252 American-B** Win 13-0 540.37 Ignored Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
207 Towson** Win 13-1 902.25 Ignored Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
170 Miami (Florida)** Win 13-0 1209.35 Ignored Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
47 American Loss 9-10 1416.57 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
112 SUNY-Binghamton** Win 9-1 1570.01 Ignored Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
75 Penn State Win 9-1 1858.65 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
43 Duke Loss 7-8 1439.4 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
77 Mount Holyoke Win 10-7 1612.19 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
31 Pittsburgh Win 10-8 1953.81 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
55 St Olaf Win 10-7 1831.55 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
20 Pennsylvania Win 9-8 2037.4 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
17 Notre Dame Loss 8-14 1432.99 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
22 Ohio State Loss 5-10 1317.63 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
225 Dickinson** Win 13-1 805.4 Ignored Apr 12th Pennsylvania D III Womens Conferences 2025
101 Scranton Win 10-2 1658.24 Apr 12th Pennsylvania D III Womens Conferences 2025
119 Swarthmore Win 11-5 1539.18 Apr 13th Pennsylvania D III Womens Conferences 2025
101 Scranton Win 12-2 1658.24 Apr 13th Pennsylvania D III Womens Conferences 2025
116 Cedarville** Win 13-3 1547.19 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Womens Regionals 2025
98 Lehigh Win 11-6 1636.87 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Womens Regionals 2025
199 Oberlin** Win 15-1 1041.28 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Womens Regionals 2025
119 Swarthmore** Win 13-1 1539.18 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Womens Regionals 2025
49 Kenyon Win 14-4 2098.7 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D III College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)