#31 Pittsburgh (17-10)

avg: 1691.14  •  sd: 60.72  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
80 Appalachian State Win 13-9 1633.31 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
21 Virginia Loss 7-13 1342 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
3 Tufts** Loss 2-13 1886.95 Ignored Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
65 Florida Win 10-6 1814.75 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
60 South Carolina Win 10-3 1984.06 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
40 California Loss 9-10 1456.88 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
10 California-San Diego Loss 6-13 1513.72 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
7 Washington Loss 6-12 1609.99 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
45 Texas-Dallas Win 8-6 1862.14 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
68 Santa Clara Win 8-5 1753.67 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
29 Georgia Loss 8-10 1462.3 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
36 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Loss 8-10 1355.81 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
26 Northeastern Win 10-8 2062.08 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
35 Wisconsin Win 11-8 1999 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
37 William & Mary Win 12-5 2201.64 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
55 St Olaf Win 8-7 1566.89 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
75 Penn State Win 13-2 1858.65 Apr 12th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2025
245 Pennsylvania-B** Win 13-0 635.18 Ignored Apr 12th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2025
71 Carnegie Mellon Win 11-7 1745.23 Apr 13th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2025
20 Pennsylvania Loss 8-9 1787.4 Apr 13th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2025
81 Case Western Reserve Win 13-3 1800.8 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
22 Ohio State Win 8-7 2016.53 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
75 Penn State Win 10-7 1648.31 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
115 West Chester Win 8-6 1251.45 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
124 Cincinnati** Win 15-4 1511.96 Ignored Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
32 Ohio Loss 7-8 1546.08 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
22 Ohio State Loss 7-12 1371.02 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)