#79 Columbia (13-12)

avg: 1218.99  •  sd: 68.43  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
59 Central Florida Win 8-7 1521.52 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
32 Ohio Loss 4-11 1071.08 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
53 Maryland Win 7-6 1581.32 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
62 Chicago Win 12-6 1923.01 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
64 Connecticut Loss 5-7 991.12 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
57 James Madison Loss 6-8 1104.35 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
71 Carnegie Mellon Loss 8-9 1153.34 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
77 Mount Holyoke Loss 8-9 1097.52 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
115 West Chester Win 9-7 1230.3 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
34 Cornell Loss 7-9 1361.42 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
98 Lehigh Win 9-7 1369.52 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
104 Yale Loss 4-5 915.63 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
139 Rutgers Win 5-4 917.55 Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
262 Rowan** Win 15-1 144.11 Ignored Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
104 Yale Loss 9-10 915.63 Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
185 SUNY-Stony Brook** Win 15-1 1118.7 Ignored Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
93 NYU Loss 7-10 721.78 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
139 Rutgers Win 11-5 1392.55 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
104 Yale Win 12-8 1481.79 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
139 Rutgers Win 13-2 1392.55 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
34 Cornell Loss 7-11 1173.86 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
161 Syracuse Win 13-1 1263.31 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
93 NYU Loss 7-9 832.1 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
91 SUNY-Buffalo Win 8-7 1241.18 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
34 Cornell Loss 6-7 1515.76 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)