#19 Brigham Young (9-10)

avg: 1930.43  •  sd: 59.37  •  top 16/20: 64.4%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
14 California-Santa Barbara Loss 8-9 1944.99 Jan 24th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
13 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 7-10 1690.21 Jan 24th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
10 California-San Diego Loss 9-12 1768.35 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
30 UCLA Win 11-6 2265.03 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
16 Victoria Win 11-8 2351.51 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
23 California-Davis Win 7-6 2006.12 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
8 Stanford Loss 10-12 1895.89 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
30 UCLA Win 12-8 2159.49 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
16 Victoria Win 9-7 2265.24 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
27 Texas Loss 10-12 1532.54 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
54 Colorado State Win 13-5 2055.89 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
14 California-Santa Barbara Win 12-11 2194.99 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
3 Tufts Loss 7-13 1929.41 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
45 Texas-Dallas Win 11-8 1927.25 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
30 UCLA Win 13-6 2318.34 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
7 Washington Loss 11-15 1808.14 Mar 21st Northwest Challenge 2025
9 North Carolina Loss 9-12 1772.9 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025
16 Victoria Loss 7-13 1428.37 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025
4 Colorado Loss 6-13 1727.97 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)