#34 Washington University (20-9)

avg: 1784.16  •  sd: 73.37  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
104 Appalachian State Win 15-3 1796.7 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
3 Carleton College** Loss 0-15 2022 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
23 Notre Dame Loss 12-13 1806.53 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
22 Pittsburgh Loss 8-10 1671.55 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
16 Pennsylvania Win 11-10 2224.13 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
36 William & Mary Win 9-5 2288.95 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
113 Saint Louis Win 8-5 1584.88 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
237 Northwestern-B** Win 13-0 621.81 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
195 Washington University-B** Win 10-4 1111.38 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
133 Truman State** Win 11-2 1581.98 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
113 Saint Louis Win 9-4 1731.28 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
96 Iowa State Win 7-6 1378.51 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
133 Truman State** Win 9-2 1581.98 Ignored Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
47 Southern California Win 13-9 2055.23 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
24 Ohio State Loss 8-13 1397.72 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
42 Texas-Dallas Win 12-10 1918.04 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
25 Utah Loss 5-8 1432.42 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
25 Utah Loss 10-11 1761.02 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
42 Texas-Dallas Win 11-10 1804.92 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
53 Texas Loss 6-15 961.29 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
113 Saint Louis** Win 14-2 1731.28 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2024
83 Kansas Win 10-4 1943 Apr 13th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2024
77 Missouri Win 10-5 1942.86 Apr 14th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2024
197 Sam Houston** Win 15-0 1067.35 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
7 Colorado** Loss 0-14 1826.24 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
53 Texas Win 11-7 2028.19 Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
18 Colorado State Loss 6-15 1471.59 Apr 28th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
77 Missouri Win 15-4 1968.96 Apr 28th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
42 Texas-Dallas Win 12-8 2121.07 Apr 28th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)