#103 Virginia Tech (6-16)

avg: 1048.67  •  sd: 53.75  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
144 Catholic Win 11-1 1334.05 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
50 Liberty Loss 3-8 889 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
85 Richmond Loss 4-7 652.44 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
58 Davenport Loss 2-6 803.44 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
82 Tennessee Loss 4-10 596.68 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
116 Cedarville Win 9-7 1226.53 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
33 Georgia Tech** Loss 5-13 1050.8 Ignored Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
227 South Carolina-B** Win 10-2 788.14 Ignored Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
81 Case Western Reserve Loss 6-9 782.24 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
100 Emory Win 8-6 1375.61 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
90 Williams Loss 10-11 993.59 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
57 James Madison Loss 6-8 1104.35 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
50 Liberty Loss 7-13 931.46 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
159 Virginia Commonwealth Win 13-1 1266.49 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
37 William & Mary Loss 6-9 1183.07 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
57 James Madison Loss 8-9 1279.84 Apr 13th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
21 Virginia** Loss 5-12 1299.53 Ignored Apr 13th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
47 American Loss 7-14 958.68 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
80 Appalachian State Win 12-11 1339.74 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
57 James Madison Loss 8-12 963.69 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
9 North Carolina** Loss 3-15 1518.27 Ignored Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
60 South Carolina Loss 4-15 784.06 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)