#100 Emory (15-11)

avg: 1075.12  •  sd: 60.06  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
80 Appalachian State Loss 1-15 614.74 Jan 25th Carolina Kickoff 2025
43 Duke Loss 2-15 964.4 Jan 25th Carolina Kickoff 2025
9 North Carolina** Loss 0-15 1518.27 Ignored Jan 25th Carolina Kickoff 2025
152 North Carolina-B Win 10-7 1079.33 Jan 26th Carolina Kickoff 2025
258 Emory-B** Win 13-2 286.43 Ignored Jan 26th Carolina Kickoff 2025
69 North Carolina State Loss 2-13 693.24 Jan 26th Carolina Kickoff 2025
81 Case Western Reserve Win 9-6 1619.37 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
84 Clemson Win 9-8 1288.38 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
128 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 11-4 1447.3 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
213 Georgia-B** Win 9-3 872.97 Ignored Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
82 Tennessee Loss 10-11 1071.68 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
103 Virginia Tech Loss 6-8 748.17 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
127 Georgia College Win 9-8 981.5 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
213 Georgia-B** Win 14-3 872.97 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
203 Tennessee-Chattanooga** Win 8-3 995.46 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
29 Georgia Loss 7-11 1258.07 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
157 Georgia Southern Win 11-7 1140.91 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
33 Georgia Tech Loss 0-15 1050.8 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
203 Tennessee-Chattanooga** Win 11-3 995.46 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
82 Tennessee Loss 2-15 596.68 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
59 Central Florida Loss 5-11 796.52 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
237 Florida-B** Win 15-4 684.15 Ignored Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
157 Georgia Southern Win 15-4 1274.02 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
189 LSU Win 15-3 1091.15 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
65 Florida Loss 12-13 1193.59 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
125 Jacksonville State Win 9-7 1165.71 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)