#237 Florida-B (2-18)

avg: 84.15  •  sd: 78.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
172 Florida State Loss 1-7 0.38 Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
33 Georgia Tech** Loss 0-13 1050.8 Ignored Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
170 Miami (Florida) Loss 2-10 9.35 Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
65 Florida** Loss 3-12 718.59 Ignored Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
230 Georgia Tech-B Win 8-6 464.94 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
170 Miami (Florida) Loss 4-8 44.54 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
160 Charleston Loss 3-10 65.23 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
107 Denver** Loss 0-13 431.18 Ignored Mar 15th Southerns 2025
128 North Carolina-Wilmington** Loss 1-13 247.3 Ignored Mar 15th Southerns 2025
157 Georgia Southern Loss 2-10 74.02 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
127 Georgia College** Loss 3-11 256.5 Ignored Mar 15th Southerns 2025
172 Florida State Loss 2-15 0.38 Apr 12th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
248 South Florida Loss 7-8 -109.88 Apr 12th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
221 Florida Tech Win 7-6 342.36 Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
170 Miami (Florida) Loss 7-13 51.82 Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
59 Central Florida** Loss 1-15 796.52 Ignored Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
100 Emory** Loss 4-15 475.12 Ignored Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
157 Georgia Southern Loss 1-13 74.02 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
172 Florida State Loss 6-9 181.82 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
213 Georgia-B Loss 8-10 10.31 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)