#61 Chicago (18-12)

avg: 1694.33  •  sd: 48.28  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
21 British Columbia Loss 6-12 1470.58 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 8-13 1900.69 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
71 Grand Canyon Win 11-9 1878.78 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
41 Oklahoma Christian Loss 7-11 1385.98 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
60 California-Santa Barbara Loss 10-13 1387.45 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
113 Southern California Win 13-10 1782.18 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
75 Dartmouth Win 8-8 1612.49 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
18 Northeastern Loss 7-13 1550.52 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
39 Illinois Loss 9-10 1760.37 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
46 Florida Loss 6-8 1485.39 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
116 LSU Win 13-3 2031.09 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
69 Central Florida Win 9-8 1763.53 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
194 Ohio Win 13-6 1742.62 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
129 Michigan Tech Win 11-10 1507.05 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 12-8 1926.03 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
20 Washington University Loss 5-11 1486.16 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
57 Virginia Loss 7-9 1459.49 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
83 Indiana Win 9-7 1860.66 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
263 Illinois State** Win 15-4 1498.19 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
340 DePaul** Win 15-0 1155.29 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
145 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Win 15-10 1785.35 Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
324 Illinois-Chicago** Win 15-0 1222.98 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
106 Northwestern Loss 8-9 1357.91 Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
145 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Win 15-9 1847.23 Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
222 Ball State** Win 15-4 1643.66 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
357 Michigan State-B** Win 15-0 1074.64 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
135 Grand Valley Win 14-8 1907.19 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
49 Michigan State Loss 8-11 1412.87 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
62 Purdue Win 14-10 2088.45 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
39 Illinois Loss 13-15 1671.2 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)