#60 California-Santa Barbara (15-18)

avg: 1715.6  •  sd: 51.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
17 Brigham Young Loss 10-13 1792.49 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
121 Cal Poly-SLO-B Win 15-6 2001.25 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
15 California Loss 6-15 1557.46 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
29 Utah Loss 9-12 1601.7 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
53 Colorado State Loss 7-15 1156.05 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
61 Chicago Win 13-10 2022.47 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
106 Northwestern Win 14-11 1796.25 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
7 Oregon Loss 8-12 1888.92 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
24 UCLA Loss 8-11 1655.09 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
40 Victoria Win 11-9 2106.69 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
21 British Columbia Loss 7-9 1770.55 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
125 California-Irvine Win 12-7 1912.43 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
34 California-San Diego Loss 8-12 1462.29 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Win 11-10 2032.18 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
67 Stanford Loss 7-9 1392.23 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
111 Vanderbilt Win 12-5 2057.16 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
144 Santa Clara Win 13-6 1936.2 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Loss 9-10 1782.18 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
67 Stanford Loss 5-10 1097.67 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
66 Western Washington Loss 6-10 1177.28 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
71 Grand Canyon Win 11-4 2229.57 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
255 Cal State-Long Beach** Win 12-4 1522.79 Ignored Apr 13th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2024
113 Southern California Win 10-7 1843.7 Apr 13th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2024
211 San Diego State** Win 12-5 1680.14 Ignored Apr 13th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2024
24 UCLA Loss 9-11 1771.49 Apr 13th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 9-15 1881.37 Apr 14th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2024
34 California-San Diego Loss 5-13 1303.45 Apr 14th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2024
121 Cal Poly-SLO-B Win 14-4 2001.25 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
125 California-Irvine Win 12-5 1991.92 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Loss 7-12 1386.67 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
67 Stanford Win 8-7 1796.57 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
34 California-San Diego Loss 3-8 1303.45 Apr 28th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
24 UCLA Loss 8-13 1524.54 Apr 28th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)